Tag: Hurricanes

  • Hurricanes in a Warming World

    Hurricanes in a Warming World

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    Climate scientists are generally confident that climate warming leads to stronger TCs… But on the question of hurricane numbers, the answer is unclear.

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  • El Niño Is Not Evil

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    The media needs your attention; El Niño is a perfect conduit for grabbing it, especially the strong ones. But don’t fall for the fear trap.

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  • Counting Historical Hurricanes

    Counting Historical Hurricanes

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    Sounds great, but…it turns out that nobody knows for sure how many TCs there were before we began tracking them with satellites in the late 1960s. Before then, just a subset of TCs were actually recorded in the history books – typically by ships or when the storm came ashore. Others were “fish storms” that…

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  • Do Seasonal Hurricane Forecasts Have Value?

    Do Seasonal Hurricane Forecasts Have Value?

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    Do government agencies like FEMA use seasonal forecasts to move equipment, budget for the response, or otherwise make any decisions? Does the general population see a seasonal forecast and then change what they do and how much they spend in their preparation for the season? Do local governments perform any planning based on these forecasts?

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